Wednesday, November 28, 2012

ALEX SMITH SHOULD QUIT THE 49ERS

In light of Jim Harbaugh's decision, I'm re-posting this blog with some additional thoughts. I have never advocated for quitting anything.  I don't believe in it.  But I also now believe that Alex Smith has been mistreated in a way that has never been equaled for a QB.  This decision is a spit in the face, a veritable Ndamukong-Suh-stomp on the neck and done by his head coach, himself a former starting NFL QB.  This San Francisco team that was possibly on their way to a Super Bowl has replaced their starting QB (6-2- and maybe 1) because he got hurt. Not because he hurt the team. And not because he wasn't playing at a superior level - but because they perceive their backup is better after two and a half starts. Only five other QBs have completed 70 percent of their passes on a season (though it's hard to count Jamie Martin as it was in eight games total). One of those players was ironically Joe Montana in 13 games in 1989. Another ironically was Steve Young. Would you bench either of those guys? No, Smith isn't at that level yet and may never be, but in nine games this year he's been superior. There is no other QB in the league doing what Smith was doing in terms of accuracy.  Not even Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers.  To put in nerdy phraseology, by choosing Colin Kaepernick, Jim Harbaugh has opted for the Dark Side.  I don't blame CK for this at all. This is on Harbaugh. Sleep well at night Jim. As a former QB you should know better. And I'll be giggling when this turns south because of all the "what ifs" that will be asked should CK fail.

When I was eight years old, I received my first subscription to SPORT magazine. It was the direct competitor to Sports Illustrated, but eventually folded in 2000. I never read a single article. I was so loyal to my sports teams, that unless a Pirates or Steelers player found the cover, I would almost shove the magazine aside as if whatever was inside didn’t involve me. Later on when I was older, I would go back and find some of those magazines, revisiting some of the classic players that I had grown up with but had had little appreciation for: Steve Carlton, Mike Schmidt, Dave Concepcion, Jack Youngblood, Earl Campbell and Steve Largent. I learned you can’t ignore history, because even though today’s players are tomorrow’s legends, a lot of them are where they are because of those that came before.  And those that forget history are doomed to repeat it.
49ers fans aren't nearly as forgiving as Alex Smith

In the mind of San Francisco fans, Head Coach Jim Harbaugh has plenty of good reasons to start second year QB Colin Kaepernick. In fact, by its sheer nature alone, the choice of playing the younger and mercurial QB over the rather tedious and methodical Alex Smith isn’t a bad decision. After all, Kaepernick’s got a lively arm. He’s mobile, and can extend plays with his feet to make things happen. He’s clearly more exciting to watch, and gives defensive coordinators more to think about. Fans will argue this is the only reasoning... as Kaepernick gives San Francisco the best chance to win.  So yes, maybe you can say Harbaugh’s brain is in the right place.  Except....

Wake up San Francisco fans -- you were winning.  And you weren't struggling to win either.

So where Harbaugh may have a lot of brains (though I question that now), he clearly has lost his heart. Harbaugh’s sudden win-over-everything, satisfy-me-now attitude is exactly why the 49ers will eventually sink in their own muck. His own muck. The muck that may get them a Super Bowl win but at the expense of the relationship of the guy who got them there. Yes, Harbaugh developed a system that exploited Alex Smith for whatever his talents could give them. However, what they got was a 13-3 record last year, and they were just a baby’s breath away from the Super Bowl berth. This year, Smith's performance got them a 6-2-1 record. They command the NFC West now, and though their arrival to prominence might coincide with developing a top-notch defense, make no mistake about it. Smith led this football team, completing over 61 percent of his passes in 2011, and raised his bar even higher to 70 percent for 2012.

And this is when Harbaugh has decided to take Smith’s chance to fulfill his career promise away from him.   In the marathon that has been Smith’s career and life’s ambition to be a starting QB and get to a Super Bowl, Harbaugh has moved the finish line maybe even out of reach.

Now?

At this moment?

After all Alex Smith has gone through?

This is how Jim Harbaugh rewards Alex Smith for making Harbaugh one of the youngest successful coaches in the NFL. He chooses what looks prettier, what appears better, and by doing so impugns his own character as a man, showing that in Harbaugh's eyes, you take the style over substance; the blonde with the altered chest rather than the quiet brunette with boundaries of privacy.    

The NFL is a quarterback driven league right now, and pundit after pundit was willing and even excited to bash the former Utah Ute as a bust of catastrophic proportions when the 49ers were the embarrassment of their division. Even though Smith had multiple coordinators in his first six years, endured season-ending injuries in 2008 and 2010, and the 49ers organization itself underwent coaching and scheme changes, Smith sewed his oats as the rodeo clown for this team, taking beating after beating, on the field and in the media. Then, after delivering a 13-3 season last year, he endured the embarrassment of his ownership and coach courting Peyton Manning in the off-season, forcing him to seek out other organizations willing to take a chance on a QB that his own organization wasn’t willing to re-sign after his best season. He was being labeled as having a fluky season at best. When the Manning deal soured, he returned to San Francisco, tail between his legs, and proved that 2011 was no fluke. He has delivered his best season as a pro.

Smith has endured even after all of this, making him a true winner.  I can't think of one quarterback who has been through as much adversity with one organization and yet had finally risen to the top of his game.  He's tried, true and tested, and come playoff time, will be the only leader you can be sure would be capable of handling the crucial scenarios of the playoffs.  Lest we forget last year he went toe-to-toe with Drew Brees in a shootout and emerged victorious?

The thanks he gets -- another concussion taken for the team and some hope by that team that the brain knock he took caused some sort of quarterback amnesia – as if Smith or for that matter anyone could erase the repeated injustices this team has continually thrust his way. He’s contracted through the 2014 season, but payments associated with making the team are part of the heavily incentive-ridden contract.

And should Kaepernick, in his attempts to recreate John Elway or Brett Favre while evading a persistent pass-rusher, sustain an injury, it will be Smith called onto the field to rescue this 49ers team yet again; the same team that has turned their respective backs against him over and over. Should he fail, the fans will once again relegate him to goat status. Should he succeed, he’ll find himself possibly the only quarterback to come off winning a Super Bowl to not be invited back to his own team since Trent Dilfer.

It's very simple. Alex Smith should quit. No employee, contract or not, would take this kind of repeated bashing. He has been shown the door indirectly and directly by an organization that he has led to a 19-5-1 record the last two seasons, something most organizations would die for. As far as the 49ers are concerned, this latest move speaks volumes as to how much they credit Alex Smith for any of it.


Zero.
 
Whether the San Francisco 49ers organization or fans are aware, the message being sent to the players is louder and clearer than any message sent to them in a concrete email. It says you don’t matter. No matter how well you play, no matter your contribution, we will forget you as quickly as we’ll forget our last loss. Tight End Vernon Davis bit his tongue in front of the camera Sunday, saying they were ‘fine’ with Kaepernick starting, and that they’ll abide by their coach’s decision. After all, they are players. They have to.

Colin Kaepernick might be slightly more evasive (Smith has 29 attempts for 134 yards this year - a 4.6 average).  He may have a better arm. He may even someday be a legend. And Jim Harbaugh may win the Super Bowl. But the victory now will be shallow. It will be as hollow as Harbaugh’s caved out chest, eviscerated by his and his organization’s thirst for victory. Should the Lamar Hunt trophy be hoisted in San Francisco this year, expect it to be the last for some time. Everyone in that locker room now knows where Harbaugh’s loyalties lie. They know it’s not with them. It lies with the trophy, and his moment in the sun. 

He’s forgotten way too quickly who helped get him there. Like many others before him, he’s broken the rungs of his own ladder. When the Ravens let Dilfer go, they did so because he so obviously wasn’t a tremendous play-maker. This was true. But he was a leader, and part of a team that was special. If he wasn't, they simply would have replaced him with Elvis Grbac or Randall Cunningham and won.  Instead they went 10-6 the next season and faltered.  The Ravens didn't return to the Super Bowl and haven’t since.  The San Diego Chargers let Drew Brees go.  He's been to and won a Super Bowl since.  The Chargers have been a first round exit in the playoffs if they made it.  

Things might look shiny and bright for San Francisco on the horizon, but there’s a stormy sea ahead. There’s an ocean fraught with the history of those whose memories are short, and loyalties are hollow. And unfortunately, those that don’t know their history are doomed to repeat it.

4 comments:

  1. Jon, I have to wonder the motivation for this post as it (with respect) borders on the Skip Bayless side of saying something outrageous just for commentary. The worst a QB has ever been treated? Please.

    And your examples don't make sense - the Chargers haven't gotten back to the second round of the playoffs because their player personnel is a joke and Norvall Turner is a terrible coach. The Ravens similarly haven't turned their roster over and are old and slow on defense, formerly their strong suit.

    Colin frankly gives the team a better chance to win. The best coach in the history of football - Bill Walsh - was famous for getting rid of a player a year BEFORE he got bad and upgraded the position instead. Alex Smith can and will likely have a good career elsewhere, but your post is a bit hyperbolic, to say the least. If they win the Super Bowl this year, it's worth it. Regardless of whether Smith feels slighted or hurt.

    It's a business - one founded on team unity, to be sure. But nothing hurts a team worse than keeping someone starting who is not as good as another guy on the bench. Just ask any Raiders during the Marcus Allen years whether they would have been a better TEAM if Allen hadn't been dicked over by Al Davis. Of course they would have.

    I've been a huge Alex Smith apologist and I don't like it when folks lose their job to injury - and what this move says for athletes being honest about their injuries is a VERY valid discussion to have - but to say it's not fair to Alex, who is being paid $12MM this year, is crazy. Just crazy. If Alex could throw down field and Harbaugh didn't feel like he couldn't use the whole playbook with him, then the team benefits with Colin in there.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. we'll have to respectfully disagree here. Your argument would be valid if your team had struggled with Smith at the helm. But Kaepernick's two starts don't give you or I any more insight into how good he'll be if or when adversity hits. You're taking two starts and calling the kid great. I'm taking his two starts with a grain of salt. He couldn't beat St. Louis. Without the defense picking off the Saints twice you don't win last week necessarily.

      If you think I'm using too much hyperbole, list me one QB who was benched for getting injured after going 6-2, ranking 5th in QB rating, tops in completion percentage, and top ten in numerous other categories including touchdown per pass attempt ratio. Smith has taken the heat for this team and organization for years, and last year you were a fumble away from the SB, and two of your receivers this year weren't even on last year's club. With Manningham and Moss he's now completing 70% of his passes. If you can name me a QB who earned this job more than Smith has, and lost it in a worse way, please do. I can't think of a single instance. He literally has won his way to the bench.

      The argument isn't who the future QB of this team is, or who is the better athlete even. Arguing Kaepernick gives a team a better chance to win when they weren't losing to begin with is like arguing that Spielberg makes a better movie than Coppola because Spielberg's ET made more money 11 years later after the GodFather. Both movies were winners, and if in this case if both QBs are winners, you then go to loyalty, leadership and tenure, all of which Smith has simply earned.

      Delete
  2. Yeah, but here's the thing - QB rating, completion percentage, all of that matters ... but trust me, for those eight games when 49er fans LIKE ME who were defending Alex to others would say, "He's the 3rd best QB with QBR, etc." the vast majority of fans laughed because ... he just CAN'T make all the throws. He's just a limited option who plays smart, and is MANAGED to not make mistakes. So he excels in a different game than the game Kaepernick can play. It's actually not really apples to apples.

    When Kaepernick reeled back to throw deep against the Saints, I leaned forward with excitement. When Smith throws deep - which rarely, rarely happens - 49ers fans (and presumably coaches) cringe, because it's not his strong suit. And fyi, he rarely connected with either Manningham or Moss - check the stats. Most of his completions were to RB, Crabtree or TE (and rarely Vernon Davis of late for unknown reasons).

    I still love Alex and have been a huge supporter of his, and the Saints playoff win remains one of the best games I've ever seen ... but he's just not equipped with all of the same tools that Colin has.

    As for worse than this ... ? How about Alex Smith under Singletary (benched for TROY SMITH) or Alex Smith under Mike Nolan (screamed at for not being perfect on every play).

    ReplyDelete
  3. RE: your last paragraph, i think you misunderstood the context of my statement "worst treatment". I wasn't just referring to this decision. In making the case he should leave the 49ers right now, I was talking about how they've dealt with him his entire career, from his mishandling to bad coaching hires etc.... Harbaugh's decision simply breaks the camel's back so to speak, and is the most ironic because could you ever see Harbaugh not flipping out after being benched at 6-2? So I meant Smith's treatment is the worst ever by an organization, not by just Jim Harbaugh himself.

    ReplyDelete